Robert Kavcic, a senior economist for BMO suggests the decline in Canadian home sales and prices is not as bad as it seems. “Remember: If the price of every house in the neighbourhood stays the same in a given year, but fewer of the expensive ones change hands in favour of the cheaper ones, the ‘average price’ will fall”.
The average price of a Canadian home this past December was $472,000 down 4.9 percent from the same month a year ago, according to the CREA.
For the whole year, home prices have gone down by 4.1%, marking the biggest drop since 1995. Sales were especially low in the costly Toronto and Vancouver markets, which is going to have a considerable pull on the nation average price.
Removing Greater Vancouver and the GTA from calculations trims close to $100,000 from the national average.
“Main points here: It wasn’t as bad as the headline 2018 national price decline look; but it wasn’t good for much of the country either; and this year could see housing stagnation become a wider and more persistent theme” Kavcic concludes.
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